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Real Name: Billy Mau Gender: male Member Since: September 22, 2007 Last Signed In: November 20, 2008 Profile Views: 599 Blog Views: 740 9% of fantasy football players get punched in the gut Favre named Jets' starter. What does it mean? Fantasy football leagues are opening up Fantasy football offseason spectacular Week 13 fantasy preview Week 11 fantasy preview Week 10 fantasy review Week 10 fantasy preview Week 9 fantasy review Week 9 fantasy preview September 07 October 07 November 07 December 07 January 08 February 08 March 08 April 08 May 08 June 08 July 08 August 08 September 08 October 08 November 08
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We've got some ugly games on the slate for this week. It's hard to get too excited for games like Dolphins-Eagles, Raiders-Vikings, Rams-49ers or Cardinals-Bengals, but that's where fantasy football comes in. Let's take a look at why these otherwise horrible games matter on the fantasy front. Dolphins-Eagles: Philly isn't great and Miami is horrible, but there are some interesting matchups in this one. If Donavan McNabb can stay upright he should have a good game throwing to Kevin Curtis against a weak Miami secondary. Expect Bryan Westbrook to also have big numbers, as he is the keystone to the Philly offense. The Dolphins also have a couple of players worth looking at. Running back Jesse Chatman might be running for his job this weekend with the return of Ricky Williams, and John Beck gets his first NFL start. Should Chatman or Beck be in your lineup? No. But if you're in a deep league, these guys are good options for injury replacements. Raiders-Vikings: With Adrian Peterson out, this will be a big game for Chester Taylor fans. You've also got a Raiders offense that specializes in the run and a Vikings defense that specializes in stopping the run.If you've got faith in the likes of Justin Fargas, go with him. Otherwise, that Minnesota D might be worth a look. Rams-49ers: Man, oh man, what a stinker. Two of the worst teams in football throwdown in what will surely go down in history as a game that was played on Sunday. The Rams had a good game against the Saints last week, which means that it might be time to dust off Torry Holt, Marc Bulger and Stephen Jackson (if he can avoid getting hurt). Dilfer gets another start for the 49ers, which means you don't want any San Fran players anywhere near your roster. Cardinals-Bengals: Two inconsistent offenses should enjoy big games against two really bad defenses. Expect Kurt Warner and Carson Palmer to put up strong numbers in game that amount to little more than 7-on-7 practice. My picks: Bucs over Falcons Last week's picks results: 6-8. Hey, we all have bad days. This was a rough weekend for people that listened to me for fantasy advice. The Advocate's intrepid education reporter Bj Lewis asked me if he should go with LaDainian Tomlinson or Adrian Peterson in his single-RB league. I told him that he couldn't go wrong either way, but that I though Petereson would have the bigger day. Unfortunately I did not factor a potentially season-ending knee injury. I haven't had the guts to ask him if he went with my suggestion. While Adrian Peterson may have broken hearts, Brian Westbrook had fantasy owners dancing in the streets. The Eagles running back led all fantasy scorers, finishing in the neighborhood of 36 points depending on your league's scoring system. Westbrook rushed for 100 yds and a TD and rolled up another 83 receiving yards and 2 TDs. Sticking to the fine state of Pennsylvania, how about that Ben Roethlisberger. Big Ben was the top-scoring QB of the weekend thanks to a 278-yard passing performance highlighted by a 30-yard touchdown run. I thought Drew Brees would be in for the big week out of the QBs, but I was wrong again. Now allow me to use my movie preview guy voice for this next one. In a world where Randy Moss is on a bye week, one man would rise above the rest to rule the fantasy football world. That man: Terrell Owens. T.O. was good for about 24 points this week and helped the Cowboys pretty much win the NFC East in week 10. And now for the rest of the 20-point wonders for week 10: QB - Donavan McNabb, Brett Favre, Tony Romo, Marc Bulger. WR - Reggie Wayne, James Thrash. DEF - San Diego, Denver. K - Shayne Graham. You might be saying to this blog, "Hey jerk, you left out the running backs!" No I didn't. Westbrook was the only one. That's right. You've got two defenses and a kicker breaking 20, but only one RB was up to task. Week 10 has some interesting fantasy match ups to offer. Can Adrian Peterson keep up his record pace against the Packers? Who's the better QB in the Philadelphia-Washington game? Where do you turn for gimme points with the Patriots on a bye? Let's take a look. Straight Money: Yeah the Packers have a really good defense, but have you seen this Adrian Peterson guy? He plays in a one-dimensional offense and routinely sees eight defenders in the box, yet this kid is still on a pace to challenge Eric Dickerson's single-season rushing record. After his record-setting 296 yard game, I'm expecting Mr. All-Day to have an off day - of about 120 yards and two touchdowns. Straight Money?: Chad Johnson is hurt and the Bengals are playing the Ravens, but I'm thinking Carson Palmer still might be in for a big game. That Ravens' D is a little banged up after getting beat down by the Steelers, especially Ed Reed, and the Bengals get bad boy Chris Henry back for this one. (Blank) is the new Tom Brady: Actually, it's more of a temporary Brady since the Pats only take one bye week, but expect Drew Brees to light it up this week. He seems to have recovered very nicely from his rough start and he gets the dream match up of the winless, hapless Rams. Mmmm, Mmmm, good: Jason Campbell could be in for a big game against the Philadelphia Eagles. While he's probably not a regular starter on most fantasy teams, he could be worth a look if you're starter is on a bye or if he's looking at a tough match up. The Eagles are a bad team, and now they are a disgruntled squad. Donavan McNabb called out the entire team this week, and there is no guarantee that the team will respond favorably. Aside from Campbell, Clinton Portis and the Washington D could be worth a start. Talking Texas: Houston is on a bye, so the focus is directly on the Cowboys. The Cowboys barely snuck by the Giants when they (the Giants) were horrible. The G-Men are 6-1 since that game and now they square off in New Jersey. The Boys could be in trouble here. Tony Romo will be good, but not great. T.O. will get enough throws his way to be a good start and Marion Barber is also a good start. Billy's Picks: Straight up win-loss picks here, as always. I don't do spreads and I don't do bets. I cannot be held responsible for goons breaking your kneecaps over my picks. Chiefs over Broncos Last week: 9-5 One could talk about BIg Ben Roethlisberger's five-TD night against the Ravens, or Drew Brees' 445 passing yards against Jacksonville, but those games whimper in the mighty shadow of Adrian Peterson. Peterson ran for an NFL-record 296 yards against the Chargers, leading the Vikings to a huge upset win. Oh yeah, it's only Peterson's eighth NFL game. How's that learning curve working out? The knock on Peterson coming out of Oklahoma was that he was injury prone and would hold up for an NFL season. That Charger game put Peterson over 1,000 yards, so by my estimation, he's already held up for a season. Now he's starting his second season with the eight remaining games. This guy might be shaping up into one of the best fantasy values this season. Peterson was a mid- to late-round pick in most leagues because he was stuck behind Chester Taylor on the depth chart. He's quickly emerged as a must-start back and looks like he'll be around for a while. You want this guy on your team, especially if you have a team in a keeper league. Welcome to the Week 9 Rundown. We've got 14 games this week and we've got some good ones. As a fan, I live for weeks like this. Now for my fantasy picks and game picks. 49ers at Falcons: These are two hurting teams both physically and record-wise. The Falcons ditched their man-mountain DT Grady Jackson, so expect Frank Gore to find a seem or two in the running game. Joey Harrington is back with Byron Leftwich hurt for Atlanta. I wouldn't start him, but Roddy White might be a good play. Alex Smith is still healing for the 49ers, but I think he's good enough to beat the Falcons. My pick: 49ers. Bengals at Bills: It's a well-known fact that the Bengals hold a personal grudge against me and sabotage my picks each week. With that said, I'm expecting a big game from Carson Palmer and his receivers, Chad Johnson and T.J. Houshmandzadeh. That Buffalo D is pretty banged up. J.P. Lousman is back in the starting QB role with rookie Trent Edwards a little banged up, so don't expect much in the passing game. It's still possible that Lee Evans will find the all against the Bengals' pathetic secondary. Marshawn Lynch is also worth a start. My pick: Bengals. Broncos at Lions: The Broncos have two all-pro cornerbacks, but they seem to be suffering a crisis of confidence. They'll have a hard time getting their swagger back against the Lions' passing attack. Expect Jon Kitna to spread the ball around to Roy Williams, Calvin Johnson and Shaun McDonald. The downside is that one of those WRs will bomb out in this game...I just don't know which one. Selvin Young is getting more time at RB for the Broncos and is a good bye-week option. My pick: Lions. Panthers at Titans: David Carr gets the start for the Panthers, so expect Steve Smith to continue his drop off the face of the fantasy earth. In fact, the Panthers are just in trouble all-around against this Titans' D. Start the defense and LenDale White from the Titans. Avoid any Panther, Vince Young or any of the Titans' WRs. My pick: Titans. Packers at Chiefs: It's hard to say what this game will bring. The matchups show that the KC secondary could be tough on Brett Favre, but it's hard to sit the guy with the hot hand. Donald Driver is a solid start, as is Larry Johnson and Dwayne Bowe. The Packers' D will give up yards, but not scores. My pick: Packers. Chargers at Vikings: I'm expecting a slaughter in this one. The Chargers will put nine defenders on Adrian Peterson and that will be enough to crush the Vikings. LaDainian Tomlinson, Antonio Gates and the Chargers' D are must starts. Phillip Rivers and Chris Chambers are solid options as well. My pick: Chargers. Jaguars at Saints: This will be a good one for sure. The Jags will have to be successful pounding the ball in the ground game with starting QB David Garrard still out. The Jacksonville defense should keep the Saints' offense in check. This looks to be a low-scoring game. Start Maurice Jones-Drew, Drew Brees and Marques Colston. The Jacksonville D might be a good option. My pick: Jaguars Redskins at Jets: Kellen Clemens is finally starting at QB for the Jets, but it won't matter. Laveraneus Coles is likely out with a concussion, and the entire offense will suffer because of it. Clinton Portis should have a good game, and Jason Campbell might be worth a start if you're bold enough. My pick: Redskins. Cardinals at Buccaneers: Kurt Warner, Larry Fitzgerald and Anquan Boldin will get their numbers, not a win. Expect big games from Jeff Garcia, Earnest Graham and Joey Galloway. My pick: Bucs. Seattle at Cleveland: The Charlie Frye Bowl! I can't say it enough - Derek Anderson, Braylon Edwards and Kellen Winslow are can't miss starts. Shaun Alexander might pull off a good game against the Browns' D. My pick: Browns Patriots at Colts: A fantasy dream game. Start the Big Three from each team - Tom Brady, Randy Moss, Wes Welker for NE and Peyton Manning, Joseph Addai and Reggie Wayne for Indy. Both teams are undefeated, but the Colts have played the tougher schedule so far so...My pick: Colts. Texans at Raiders: Sage Rosenfels starts for Houston and should do well. Josh McKown will start for Oakland and might do well. The real test here is the Raiders running game against Houston's front seven. Lamont Jordan and/or Justin Fargas will play well on Sunday. The Texans say Andre Johnson is a game time call, but I wouldn't count on it. Start Kevin Walter and Owen Daniels if you want a Texan in your lineup. My pick: Texans Cowboys at Eagles: There are three good teams in the NFC East, but the Eagles aren't one of them. Tony Romo, Marion Barber and T.O. are good starts. Kevin Curtis is likely the best start for the Eagles with Bryan Westbrook right behind him. My pick: Cowboys. Ravens at Steelers: Low scoring, bad fantasy matchup. You could almost get away with starting either defense. Ben Roethlisberger, Hines Ward and Willie Parker are good starts. Willis McGahee is good if you need a bye week back. My pick: Steelers. |