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There are no guarantees, but at least one forecaster believes there will be a near-normal number of hurricanes and tropical storms this year.
More importantly, AccuWeather.com's forecast calls for a relatively large percentage of those storms to strike the United States. AccuWeather forecaster Joe Bastardi believes that risk is 1.6 times the norm.
He also believes the best chance for early storm development is in the western or central Gulf of Mexico.
This is based primarily on very warm water in the western and central Gulf, cool water in the western Caribbean Sea, the expected June steering currents in the central Gulf, and a drier-than-normal pattern in the northwest Caribbean.
The forecast holds that the primary period of hurricane threat will run from mid-August to mid-October and will encompass the entire Gulf and Atlantic.
Anyone else care to venture a forecast?
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